Scouting Report
Brandon Sutter holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 44.7% vs Stepan 39.9% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Stepan leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 87.0%
Defensive zone
Sutter 59.6%
Neutral zone
Stepan 62.0%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 64.5%
35.5%
64.5%
Sutter
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
8
(13 meetings)
5
8
Sutter
Stepan
Last 10: Sutter 5-5 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
0
3
Sutter
Stepan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Sutter
Stepan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Sutter
Stepan
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (1,027)
38.6% (630)
+6.1%
Power Play
45.3% (75)
45.3% (64)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (225)
22.7% (22)
+19.5%
On penalty kill, Sutter has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Sutter is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (454).
Sutter shoots right. Stepan is 38.8% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Home / Away
Sutter
Stepan
Home
44.3% (705)
39.0% (364)
Away
44.4% (644)
38.0% (355)
By Period
Sutter
Stepan
P1
41.0%
39.4%
P2
42.1%
40.6%
P3
49.1%
36.4%
OT
50.0%
12.5%
Final 5 min
46.6%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
44.3%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
38.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2011 | 3 | 03:32 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 1 | 17:39 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 3 | 12:26 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 3 | 08:27 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 5, 2011 | 3 | 04:58 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 5, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 5, 2011 | 1 | 10:26 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Oct 29, 2010 | 3 | 16:14 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 29, 2010 | 3 | 16:01 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 29, 2010 | 3 | 02:28 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 29, 2010 | 1 | 08:36 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 29, 2010 | 1 | 05:40 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 29, 2010 | 1 | 05:30 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |