Scouting Report
Brandon Sutter holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Sutter on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 57 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 50.2% vs Stepan 46.6% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Sutter leads 100-68 in 168 meetings
Offensive zone
Sutter 52.2%
Defensive zone
Sutter 86.4%
Neutral zone
Sutter 73.2%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 70.9%
70.9%
29.1%
Sutter
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
100
-
68
(168 meetings)
100
68
Sutter
Stepan
Last 10: Sutter 6-4 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
16
38
Sutter
Stepan
54 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
47
10
Sutter
Stepan
57 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sutter
37
20
Sutter
Stepan
57 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (7,610)
46.5% (10,204)
+4.4%
Power Play
52.8% (627)
48.8% (1,593)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (1,797)
44.2% (1,368)
+2.2%
On even strength, Sutter has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Sutter is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (3,385).
Sutter shoots right. Stepan is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,991).
Home / Away
Sutter
Stepan
Home
50.6% (5,050)
47.6% (6,608)
Away
49.8% (5,033)
45.5% (6,573)
By Period
Sutter
Stepan
P1
48.7%
47.5%
P2
50.3%
45.6%
P3
51.5%
46.8%
OT
50.0%
40.7%
Final 5 min
49.4%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2021 | 3 | 11:46 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 27, 2021 | 3 | 08:32 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 27, 2021 | 2 | 17:41 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 27, 2021 | 1 | 13:33 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 27, 2021 | 1 | 13:26 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 27, 2021 | 1 | 02:06 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 25, 2021 | 3 | 18:48 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 25, 2021 | 3 | 06:26 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 25, 2021 | 3 | 06:20 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 25, 2021 | 2 | 17:08 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 25, 2021 | 1 | 05:31 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 4, 2020 | 3 | 15:00 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 4, 2020 | 3 | 09:10 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 4, 2020 | 3 | 06:16 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 4, 2020 | 2 | 07:56 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 4, 2020 | 1 | 00:31 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 3 | 19:59 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 3 | 19:39 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 3 | 15:35 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 3 | 09:57 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |