Scouting Report
Brandon Sutter holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Sutter on defensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 50.2% vs Stepan 46.2% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Sutter leads 18-11 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Sutter 53.4%
Defensive zone
Sutter 87.8%
Neutral zone
Sutter 76.8%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 76.9%
76.9%
23.1%
Sutter
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
11
(29 meetings)
18
11
Sutter
Stepan
Last 10: Sutter 6-4 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
5
Sutter
Stepan
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
10
3
Sutter
Stepan
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sutter
7
3
Sutter
Stepan
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (565)
48.0% (750)
+2.3%
Power Play
50.0% (64)
36.3% (113)
+13.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (132)
41.6% (113)
+8.4%
On power play, Sutter has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Sutter is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (292).
Sutter shoots right. Stepan is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (360).
Home / Away
Sutter
Stepan
Home
53.5% (381)
47.4% (460)
Away
46.8% (380)
44.5% (517)
By Period
Sutter
Stepan
P1
48.6%
50.3%
P2
52.1%
38.4%
P3
50.0%
49.4%
OT
50.0%
27.3%
Final 5 min
45.5%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2013 | 3 | 17:14 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 3 | 15:08 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 3 | 13:09 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 2 | 07:27 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 2 | 03:22 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 1 | 19:35 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 1 | 06:04 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 1 | 01:53 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Apr 3, 2013 | 3 | 10:59 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 3, 2013 | 2 | 18:26 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 3, 2013 | 2 | 02:27 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Apr 3, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Apr 3, 2013 | 1 | 13:19 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Apr 3, 2013 | 1 | 08:36 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 3 | 12:23 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 3 | 10:44 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 3 | 07:47 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 3 | 07:29 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 3 | 04:33 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 3 | 01:43 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |