Scouting Report
Brandon Sutter holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Sutter on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 54.0% vs Stepan 47.2% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sutter 75.1%
Defensive zone
Sutter 95.2%
Neutral zone
Sutter 84.8%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 83.1%
83.1%
16.9%
Sutter
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Sutter
Stepan
Last 5: Sutter 5-0 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
3
0
Sutter
Stepan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
2
0
Sutter
Stepan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (1,088)
48.2% (1,155)
+6.4%
Power Play
59.3% (150)
48.2% (193)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (214)
37.9% (174)
+11.2%
On penalty kill, Sutter has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Sutter is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (439).
Sutter shoots right. Stepan is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (458).
Home / Away
Sutter
Stepan
Home
55.0% (714)
46.4% (774)
Away
53.5% (738)
47.7% (748)
By Period
Sutter
Stepan
P1
54.3%
46.7%
P2
53.1%
46.3%
P3
54.8%
48.1%
OT
63.3%
47.6%
Final 5 min
53.2%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
54.3%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2016 | 1 | 07:58 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 3 | 15:52 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 2 | 18:38 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 2 | 17:15 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 1 | 04:13 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |