Scouting Report
Brandon Sutter holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Sutter on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 49.2% vs Stepan 47.7% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 52.8%
Defensive zone
Sutter 68.6%
Neutral zone
Sutter 76.3%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 64.7%
64.7%
35.3%
Sutter
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Sutter
Stepan
Last 5: Sutter 4-1 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Sutter
Stepan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sutter
3
0
Sutter
Stepan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (274)
47.3% (877)
+2.3%
Power Play
50.0% (26)
54.4% (103)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (78)
45.2% (217)
+1.0%
On power play, Stepan has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Sutter is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (101).
Sutter shoots right. Stepan is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (292).
Home / Away
Sutter
Stepan
Home
46.6% (178)
50.4% (560)
Away
51.0% (200)
45.1% (637)
By Period
Sutter
Stepan
P1
43.5%
47.4%
P2
51.7%
47.0%
P3
52.4%
48.1%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
48.9%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2020 | 3 | 15:00 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 4, 2020 | 3 | 09:10 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 4, 2020 | 3 | 06:16 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 4, 2020 | 2 | 07:56 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 4, 2020 | 1 | 00:31 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |