Scouting Report
Brandon Sutter holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Sutter on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Sutter wins 62.2% vs right-shot opponents — Stepan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 54.6% vs Stepan 50.0% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Sutter leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Sutter 60.9%
Defensive zone
Sutter 90.0%
Neutral zone
Sutter 76.1%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 75.6%
75.6%
24.4%
Sutter
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Sutter
Stepan
Last 10: Sutter 6-4 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
3
Sutter
Stepan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
4
0
Sutter
Stepan
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sutter
2
1
Sutter
Stepan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (390)
52.7% (207)
+2.7%
Power Play
66.7% (12)
50.0% (26)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
54.7% (95)
29.6% (27)
+25.1%
On penalty kill, Sutter has a +25.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Sutter is 62.2% vs right-shot opponents (143).
Sutter shoots right. Stepan is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Home / Away
Sutter
Stepan
Home
57.3% (260)
46.0% (113)
Away
53.6% (237)
53.1% (147)
By Period
Sutter
Stepan
P1
54.4%
48.5%
P2
57.3%
49.4%
P3
54.8%
52.6%
Final 5 min
51.1%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
55.5%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2021 | 3 | 11:46 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 27, 2021 | 3 | 08:32 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 27, 2021 | 2 | 17:41 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 27, 2021 | 1 | 13:33 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 27, 2021 | 1 | 13:26 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 27, 2021 | 1 | 02:06 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 25, 2021 | 3 | 18:48 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 25, 2021 | 3 | 06:26 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 25, 2021 | 3 | 06:20 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 25, 2021 | 2 | 17:08 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 25, 2021 | 1 | 05:31 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |