Scouting Report
Brandon Sutter holds a +14.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Hughes on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 50.2% vs Hughes 36.6% (+14.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 92.9%
Defensive zone
Hughes 54.5%
Neutral zone
Hughes 82.5%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 85.2%
14.8%
85.2%
Sutter
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Sutter
Hughes
Last 5: Sutter 1-4 Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
0
4
Sutter
Hughes
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
1
0
Sutter
Hughes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (7,610)
36.0% (2,887)
+14.9%
Power Play
52.8% (627)
38.8% (224)
+14.0%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (1,797)
31.0% (42)
+15.4%
On penalty kill, Sutter has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Sutter is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (6,698).
Sutter shoots right. Hughes is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,222).
Home / Away
Sutter
Hughes
Home
50.6% (5,050)
36.8% (1,670)
Away
49.8% (5,033)
35.4% (1,483)
By Period
Sutter
Hughes
P1
48.7%
36.9%
P2
50.3%
33.6%
P3
51.5%
38.1%
OT
50.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
49.4%
34.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2019 | 1 | 11:13 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 3 | 12:31 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 3 | 04:06 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 2 | 02:42 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 1 | 07:50 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |