Scouting Report
Brandon Sutter holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Sutter on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 50.2% vs Komarov 47.6% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Komarov 53.2%
Defensive zone
Sutter 54.0%
Neutral zone
Komarov 55.2%
Result
Leo Komarov favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Sutter
Komarov
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Sutter
Komarov
Last 8: Sutter 4-4 Komarov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Komarov
0
2
Sutter
Komarov
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
2
1
Sutter
Komarov
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sutter
2
1
Sutter
Komarov
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Komarov
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (7,610)
48.6% (695)
+2.3%
Power Play
52.8% (627)
37.5% (16)
+15.3%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (1,797)
45.6% (417)
+0.8%
On power play, Sutter has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Komarov shoots left. Sutter is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (6,698).
Sutter shoots right. Komarov is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (435).
Home / Away
Sutter
Komarov
Home
50.6% (5,050)
49.2% (537)
Away
49.8% (5,033)
45.7% (591)
By Period
Sutter
Komarov
P1
48.7%
47.6%
P2
50.3%
47.3%
P3
51.5%
47.5%
OT
50.0%
41.2%
Final 5 min
49.4%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Komarov
46.0%▲
42.0%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2014 | 3 | 14:17 | Neutral | Leo Komarov |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 3 | 14:07 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 1 | 04:50 | Offensive | Leo Komarov |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 2 | 08:39 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 2 | 01:00 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 2 | 05:07 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |
| Jan 23, 2013 | 2 | 17:38 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 23, 2013 | 1 | 01:32 | Offensive | Leo Komarov |