Scouting Report
Brandon Sutter holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Sutter on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 50.5% vs Erat 48.7% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Erat 80.6%
Defensive zone
Sutter 91.7%
Neutral zone
Sutter 60.2%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 62.8%
62.8%
37.2%
Sutter
Erat
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Sutter
Erat
Last 5: Sutter 3-2 Erat
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Erat
0
2
Sutter
Erat
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
3
0
Sutter
Erat
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Erat
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (1,005)
46.3% (80)
+5.3%
Power Play
36.5% (52)
51.2% (41)
-14.7%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (211)
40.0% (5)
+8.8%
On power play, Erat has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Erat shoots left. Sutter is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (824).
Sutter shoots right. Erat is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (52).
Home / Away
Sutter
Erat
Home
49.3% (663)
60.9% (64)
Away
51.7% (632)
33.9% (62)
By Period
Sutter
Erat
P1
48.0%
41.9%
P2
50.4%
47.2%
P3
53.4%
54.3%
OT
38.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
50.5%
Erat
38.0%▼
43.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2012 | 3 | 08:47 | Offensive | Martin Erat |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 3 | 05:55 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 3 | 05:47 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 2 | 18:51 | Offensive | Martin Erat |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 2 | 09:57 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |