Scouting Report
Brandon Sutter holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Sutter on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 50.2% vs Erat 46.8% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Erat 79.3%
Defensive zone
Sutter 87.3%
Neutral zone
Sutter 62.6%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 60.7%
60.7%
39.3%
Sutter
Erat
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Sutter
Erat
Last 5: Sutter 3-2 Erat
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Erat
0
2
Sutter
Erat
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
3
0
Sutter
Erat
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Erat
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (7,610)
46.7% (321)
+4.2%
Power Play
52.8% (627)
45.5% (101)
+7.3%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (1,797)
41.4% (29)
+5.0%
On power play, Sutter has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Erat shoots left. Sutter is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (6,698).
Sutter shoots right. Erat is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (166).
Home / Away
Sutter
Erat
Home
50.6% (5,050)
53.2% (252)
Away
49.8% (5,033)
37.2% (199)
By Period
Sutter
Erat
P1
48.7%
43.4%
P2
50.3%
45.8%
P3
51.5%
50.0%
OT
50.0%
16.7%
Final 5 min
49.4%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Erat
38.0%▼
43.5%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2012 | 3 | 08:47 | Offensive | Martin Erat |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 3 | 05:55 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 3 | 05:47 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 2 | 18:51 | Offensive | Martin Erat |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 2 | 09:57 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |