Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.2% vs 50.7%). Look for Dowd on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 50.2% vs Dowd 50.7% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sutter 76.3%
Defensive zone
Dowd 71.7%
Neutral zone
Dowd 56.7%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Sutter
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Sutter
Dowd
Last 7: Sutter 3-4 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
3
Sutter
Dowd
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
1
0
Sutter
Dowd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sutter
2
1
Sutter
Dowd
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (7,610)
52.4% (6,009)
-1.5%
Power Play
52.8% (627)
56.1% (164)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (1,797)
44.1% (1,635)
+2.3%
On power play, Dowd has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Sutter is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (3,385).
Sutter shoots right. Dowd is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,675).
Home / Away
Sutter
Dowd
Home
50.6% (5,050)
51.9% (3,897)
Away
49.8% (5,033)
49.5% (3,912)
By Period
Sutter
Dowd
P1
48.7%
51.7%
P2
50.3%
50.4%
P3
51.5%
50.3%
OT
50.0%
45.9%
Final 5 min
49.4%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2019 | 2 | 01:27 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 3 | 04:31 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 3 | 04:25 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Dec 28, 2016 | 3 | 08:42 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 28, 2016 | 2 | 04:59 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 3 | 01:56 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 1 | 18:11 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |