Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.5% vs 54.7%). Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 54.6% vs Stastny 54.0% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 86.2%
Defensive zone
Sutter 79.5%
Neutral zone
Stastny 50.9%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Sutter
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
8
(13 meetings)
5
8
Sutter
Stastny
Last 10: Sutter 3-7 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
2
4
Sutter
Stastny
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
3
2
Sutter
Stastny
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
2
Sutter
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (390)
52.5% (432)
+2.9%
Power Play
66.7% (12)
60.4% (154)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
54.7% (95)
66.7% (6)
-12.0%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Sutter is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (354).
Sutter shoots right. Stastny is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (196).
Home / Away
Sutter
Stastny
Home
57.3% (260)
58.3% (307)
Away
53.6% (237)
50.9% (285)
By Period
Sutter
Stastny
P1
54.4%
57.4%
P2
57.3%
51.7%
P3
54.8%
54.5%
Final 5 min
51.1%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
55.5%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2021 | 3 | 06:22 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 1 | 14:15 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 3 | 11:09 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 2 | 13:34 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 1 | 10:52 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 3 | 02:15 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 19, 2021 | 3 | 09:48 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 19, 2021 | 2 | 17:14 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 19, 2021 | 2 | 13:50 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 19, 2021 | 1 | 17:03 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 2 | 06:10 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 1 | 06:37 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 1 | 01:30 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |