Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on neutral-zone draws (73% H2H, 22 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 50.2% vs Stastny 55.1% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 43-22 in 65 meetings
Offensive zone
Sutter 72.2%
Defensive zone
Sutter 85.5%
Neutral zone
Sutter 74.7%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 77.8%
77.8%
22.2%
Sutter
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
43
(65 meetings)
22
43
Sutter
Stastny
Last 10: Sutter 3-7 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
7
13
Sutter
Stastny
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
9
14
Sutter
Stastny
23 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
6
16
Sutter
Stastny
22 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (7,610)
54.6% (10,616)
-3.7%
Power Play
52.8% (627)
59.1% (1,994)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (1,797)
52.9% (1,119)
-6.5%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Sutter is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (6,698).
Sutter shoots right. Stastny is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,907).
Home / Away
Sutter
Stastny
Home
50.6% (5,050)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
49.8% (5,033)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Sutter
Stastny
P1
48.7%
56.3%
P2
50.3%
55.4%
P3
51.5%
53.5%
OT
50.0%
62.9%
Final 5 min
49.4%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2021 | 3 | 06:22 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 1 | 14:15 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 3 | 11:09 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 2 | 13:34 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 1 | 10:52 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 3 | 02:15 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 19, 2021 | 3 | 09:48 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 19, 2021 | 2 | 17:14 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 19, 2021 | 2 | 13:50 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 19, 2021 | 1 | 17:03 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 2 | 06:10 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 1 | 06:37 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 1 | 01:30 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 2 | 09:16 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 2 | 05:23 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 2 | 04:13 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 1 | 11:44 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 1 | 08:20 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 1 | 05:20 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |