Scouting Report
Ryan Johnson holds a +18.8% FO% edge overall. Sutter wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Johnson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 44.7% vs Johnson 60.0% (-18.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sutter 73.8%
Defensive zone
Sutter 75.0%
Neutral zone
Sutter 74.2%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 74.5%
74.5%
25.5%
Sutter
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Sutter
Johnson
Last 5: Sutter 1-4 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
1
0
Sutter
Johnson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
2
Sutter
Johnson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
2
Sutter
Johnson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (1,027)
63.8% (260)
-19.1%
Power Play
45.3% (75)
50.0% (4)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (225)
63.0% (46)
-20.8%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots left. Sutter is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (895).
Sutter shoots right. Johnson is 64.4% vs right-shot opponents (87).
Home / Away
Sutter
Johnson
Home
44.3% (705)
69.8% (126)
Away
44.4% (644)
58.6% (186)
By Period
Sutter
Johnson
P1
41.0%
63.0%
P2
42.1%
61.8%
P3
49.1%
66.0%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.6%
65.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
44.3%
Johnson
66.0%▬
65.5%
63.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2011 | 3 | 18:48 | Neutral | Ryan Johnson |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 3 | 05:03 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 1 | 18:32 | Neutral | Ryan Johnson |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 1 | 15:14 | Defensive | Ryan Johnson |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 1 | 15:11 | Defensive | Ryan Johnson |