Scouting Report
Ryan Johnson holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 50.2% vs Johnson 60.0% (-12.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sutter 65.5%
Defensive zone
Sutter 52.3%
Neutral zone
Sutter 55.8%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Sutter
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Sutter
Johnson
Last 5: Sutter 1-4 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
1
0
Sutter
Johnson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
2
Sutter
Johnson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
2
Sutter
Johnson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (7,610)
63.8% (260)
-12.9%
Power Play
52.8% (627)
50.0% (4)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (1,797)
63.0% (46)
-16.6%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots left. Sutter is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (6,698).
Sutter shoots right. Johnson is 64.4% vs right-shot opponents (87).
Home / Away
Sutter
Johnson
Home
50.6% (5,050)
69.8% (126)
Away
49.8% (5,033)
58.6% (186)
By Period
Sutter
Johnson
P1
48.7%
63.0%
P2
50.3%
61.8%
P3
51.5%
66.0%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
65.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Johnson
66.0%▬
65.5%
63.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2011 | 3 | 18:48 | Neutral | Ryan Johnson |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 3 | 05:03 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 1 | 18:32 | Neutral | Ryan Johnson |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 1 | 15:14 | Defensive | Ryan Johnson |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 1 | 15:11 | Defensive | Ryan Johnson |