Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 54.0% vs Kesler 57.0% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 25-7 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Sutter 62.5%
Defensive zone
Sutter 60.6%
Neutral zone
Sutter 56.6%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 60.0%
60.0%
40.0%
Sutter
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
25
(32 meetings)
7
25
Sutter
Kesler
Last 10: Sutter 2-8 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
3
8
Sutter
Kesler
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
2
9
Sutter
Kesler
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
2
8
Sutter
Kesler
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (1,088)
57.6% (1,225)
-3.0%
Power Play
59.3% (150)
63.5% (263)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (214)
51.5% (305)
-2.4%
On power play, Kesler has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Sutter is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (439).
Sutter shoots right. Kesler is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (575).
Home / Away
Sutter
Kesler
Home
55.0% (714)
59.1% (881)
Away
53.5% (738)
55.7% (912)
By Period
Sutter
Kesler
P1
54.3%
56.6%
P2
53.1%
58.2%
P3
54.8%
57.5%
OT
63.3%
53.6%
Final 5 min
53.2%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
54.3%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
57.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2017 | 2 | 18:56 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 2 | 11:15 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 2 | 11:09 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 1 | 13:21 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 1 | 12:42 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 1 | 05:15 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 3 | 18:26 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 3 | 15:08 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 3 | 06:12 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 3 | 04:26 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 3 | 00:36 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 2 | 03:31 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 1 | 19:58 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 30, 2016 | OT | 03:03 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 30, 2016 | OT | 02:56 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Dec 30, 2016 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 30, 2016 | 3 | 15:57 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 30, 2016 | 3 | 11:34 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Dec 30, 2016 | 3 | 02:27 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Dec 30, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |