Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on offensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 26 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 50.2% vs Kesler 55.9% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 55-32 in 87 meetings
Offensive zone
Sutter 79.1%
Defensive zone
Sutter 73.5%
Neutral zone
Sutter 80.0%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 77.6%
77.6%
22.4%
Sutter
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
32
-
55
(87 meetings)
32
55
Sutter
Kesler
Last 10: Sutter 5-5 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
7
19
Sutter
Kesler
26 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
14
15
Sutter
Kesler
29 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
11
21
Sutter
Kesler
32 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (7,610)
56.4% (8,095)
-5.5%
Power Play
52.8% (627)
60.7% (1,437)
-7.9%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (1,797)
50.5% (1,908)
-4.1%
On power play, Kesler has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Sutter is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (3,385).
Sutter shoots right. Kesler is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,497).
Home / Away
Sutter
Kesler
Home
50.6% (5,050)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
49.8% (5,033)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Sutter
Kesler
P1
48.7%
56.5%
P2
50.3%
55.9%
P3
51.5%
56.1%
OT
50.0%
46.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2018 | 3 | 16:35 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 27, 2018 | 2 | 17:06 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 27, 2018 | 2 | 12:37 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 27, 2018 | 2 | 05:48 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 27, 2018 | 2 | 04:14 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 27, 2018 | 1 | 14:08 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 27, 2018 | 1 | 13:14 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 14, 2018 | 3 | 17:11 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 14, 2018 | 3 | 15:18 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 14, 2018 | 3 | 09:10 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 2 | 18:56 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 2 | 11:15 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 2 | 11:09 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 1 | 13:21 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 1 | 12:42 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 1 | 05:15 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 3 | 18:26 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 3 | 15:08 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 3 | 06:12 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 3 | 04:26 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |