Brandon Sutter vs Ryan O'Reilly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 20 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 50.2% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 32-27 in 59 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 50.2%
Defensive zone
Sutter 71.8%
Neutral zone
Sutter 62.8%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 62.5%
62.5%
37.5%
Sutter
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
27
-
32
(59 meetings)
27
32
Sutter
O'Reilly
Last 10: Sutter 6-4 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
5
15
Sutter
O'Reilly
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
15
12
Sutter
O'Reilly
27 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sutter
7
5
Sutter
O'Reilly
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (7,610)
56.2% (15,260)
-5.3%
Power Play
52.8% (627)
58.8% (3,445)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (1,797)
51.4% (2,811)
-5.0%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Sutter is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (6,698).
Sutter shoots right. O'Reilly is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (7,689).
Home / Away
Sutter
O'Reilly
Home
50.6% (5,050)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
49.8% (5,033)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Sutter
O'Reilly
P1
48.7%
55.6%
P2
50.3%
57.0%
P3
51.5%
55.1%
OT
50.0%
62.2%
Final 5 min
49.4%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2019 | 3 | 05:17 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 2 | 06:35 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 2 | 03:37 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 03:51 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 02:47 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 17:23 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 06:30 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Oct 20, 2017 | 3 | 19:44 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 20, 2017 | 3 | 19:38 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Oct 20, 2017 | 3 | 18:51 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Oct 20, 2017 | 3 | 09:16 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 20, 2017 | 3 | 03:33 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Oct 20, 2017 | 2 | 10:46 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 20, 2017 | 2 | 05:34 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 20, 2017 | 1 | 11:49 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 12, 2017 | 3 | 19:55 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 12, 2017 | 3 | 19:51 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 12, 2017 | 3 | 18:00 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 12, 2017 | 3 | 17:26 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 12, 2017 | 3 | 14:36 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |