Scouting Report
Brandon Sutter holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 50.6% vs Gagner 47.2% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 89.0%
Defensive zone
Sutter 60.8%
Neutral zone
Gagner 68.8%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 73.2%
26.8%
73.2%
Sutter
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Sutter
Gagner
Last 7: Sutter 2-5 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
3
Sutter
Gagner
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
1
0
Sutter
Gagner
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gagner
1
2
Sutter
Gagner
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (1,022)
45.6% (651)
+5.4%
Power Play
57.7% (104)
53.8% (119)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (233)
0.0% (1)
+45.9%
On penalty kill, Sutter has a +45.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Sutter is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (506).
Sutter shoots right. Gagner is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (283).
Home / Away
Sutter
Gagner
Home
51.4% (692)
47.1% (367)
Away
49.8% (667)
46.5% (404)
By Period
Sutter
Gagner
P1
50.6%
49.6%
P2
49.1%
47.9%
P3
52.5%
43.4%
OT
45.8%
43.8%
Final 5 min
52.1%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
50.6%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2015 | 3 | 18:09 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 3 | 16:19 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 1 | 17:18 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 1 | 11:45 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 1 | 01:39 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 2 | 13:33 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 1 | 11:13 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |