Scouting Report
Brandon Sutter holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 50.2% vs Gagner 46.0% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Sutter leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Gagner 72.8%
Defensive zone
Sutter 83.9%
Neutral zone
Sutter 60.4%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Sutter
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
8
(17 meetings)
9
8
Sutter
Gagner
Last 10: Sutter 3-7 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
1
5
Sutter
Gagner
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
3
0
Sutter
Gagner
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sutter
5
3
Sutter
Gagner
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (7,610)
45.4% (4,699)
+5.5%
Power Play
52.8% (627)
51.5% (928)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (1,797)
35.0% (226)
+11.4%
On penalty kill, Sutter has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Sutter is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (3,385).
Sutter shoots right. Gagner is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,684).
Home / Away
Sutter
Gagner
Home
50.6% (5,050)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
49.8% (5,033)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Sutter
Gagner
P1
48.7%
44.6%
P2
50.3%
46.1%
P3
51.5%
47.3%
OT
50.0%
42.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2016 | 2 | 12:21 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 3 | 18:09 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 3 | 16:19 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 1 | 17:18 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 1 | 11:45 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 1 | 01:39 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 2 | 13:33 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 1 | 11:13 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 10, 2014 | 3 | 14:35 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 10, 2014 | 3 | 14:12 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 9, 2010 | 3 | 07:48 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 9, 2010 | 3 | 05:21 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 9, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 9, 2010 | 1 | 17:06 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 9, 2010 | 1 | 04:10 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 9, 2010 | 1 | 00:14 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 9, 2010 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |