Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 47.1% vs Coyle 50.5% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 81.1%
Defensive zone
Coyle 80.7%
Neutral zone
Point 51.0%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Point
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Point
Coyle
Last 5: Point 2-3 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
1
0
Point
Coyle
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
0
2
Point
Coyle
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Point
Coyle
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (435)
52.3% (811)
-6.1%
Power Play
49.5% (105)
44.3% (61)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
44.8% (181)
-24.8%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +24.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Point is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (142).
Point shoots right. Coyle is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (256).
Home / Away
Point
Coyle
Home
46.9% (243)
49.0% (537)
Away
46.4% (302)
52.1% (516)
By Period
Point
Coyle
P1
46.2%
48.7%
P2
45.9%
49.6%
P3
48.9%
53.1%
OT
0.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
46.6%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
46.6%
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 09:43 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 06:17 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 05:51 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 18:41 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 04:58 | Neutral | Brayden Point |