Scouting Report
Brayden Point holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Point on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Point wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 45.6% vs Malkin 43.9% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 52.7%
Defensive zone
Point 71.3%
Neutral zone
Point 62.7%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 63.9%
63.9%
36.1%
Point
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Point
Malkin
Last 6: Point 4-2 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
0
1
Point
Malkin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Point
2
0
Point
Malkin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
2
1
Point
Malkin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (462)
42.7% (827)
+2.1%
Power Play
41.7% (48)
63.2% (19)
-21.5%
On power play, Malkin has a +21.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Point is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (383).
Point shoots right. Malkin is 39.8% vs right-shot opponents (299).
Home / Away
Point
Malkin
Home
46.3% (315)
45.1% (426)
Away
42.4% (217)
41.2% (420)
By Period
Point
Malkin
P1
36.9%
41.3%
P2
48.7%
44.0%
P3
47.4%
44.7%
OT
45.5%
25.0%
Final 5 min
45.8%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
44.7%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2017 | 2 | 03:53 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 2 | 00:44 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 1 | 16:17 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 1 | 15:59 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 1 | 04:23 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 1 | 00:41 | Defensive | Brayden Point |