Scouting Report
Brayden Point holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Point on defensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 48.8% vs Malkin 45.9% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Point leads 20-13 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Point 65.0%
Defensive zone
Point 75.4%
Neutral zone
Point 70.3%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 71.3%
71.3%
28.7%
Point
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
13
(33 meetings)
20
13
Point
Malkin
Last 10: Point 9-1 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
5
Point
Malkin
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Point
10
3
Point
Malkin
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
9
5
Point
Malkin
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (6,183)
45.6% (10,081)
+2.7%
Power Play
53.9% (1,043)
50.1% (668)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (247)
32.2% (59)
+6.3%
On penalty kill, Point has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Point is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,402).
Point shoots right. Malkin is 43.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,557).
Home / Away
Point
Malkin
Home
49.1% (3,733)
47.6% (5,395)
Away
48.5% (3,740)
44.0% (5,436)
By Period
Point
Malkin
P1
46.8%
45.9%
P2
51.4%
46.2%
P3
48.0%
45.2%
OT
52.0%
49.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
48.8%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 15:19 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 2 | 09:39 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 2 | 06:31 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 13:43 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 03:52 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 00:54 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 2 | 16:51 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 1 | 16:06 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 1 | 10:24 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 1 | 03:20 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 2 | 08:53 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 2 | 06:20 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 1 | 08:09 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 2 | 10:29 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 2 | 07:23 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 1 | 00:50 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 1 | 00:20 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 30, 2019 | 3 | 17:00 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Jan 30, 2019 | 3 | 16:49 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Jan 30, 2019 | 3 | 12:12 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |