Scouting Report
Brayden Point holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Dickinson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Point wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Dickinson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 50.7% vs Dickinson 48.0% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 71.1%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 86.3%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 58.9%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Point
Dickinson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Point
Dickinson
Last 8: Point 3-5 Dickinson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Point
Dickinson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
0
3
Point
Dickinson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
1
0
Point
Dickinson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Dickinson
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (711)
48.6% (626)
+1.3%
Power Play
56.2% (105)
44.0% (25)
+12.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
44.2% (120)
+5.8%
On power play, Point has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dickinson shoots left. Point is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (572).
Point shoots right. Dickinson is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (309).
Home / Away
Point
Dickinson
Home
53.3% (394)
45.4% (368)
Away
48.4% (428)
49.9% (403)
By Period
Point
Dickinson
P1
49.8%
49.2%
P2
53.0%
46.3%
P3
49.6%
48.1%
OT
44.4%
44.4%
Final 5 min
56.9%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
50.7%
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 14:25 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 02:10 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 06:06 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 14:25 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 14:22 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 3 | 09:48 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 15:40 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 11:58 | Offensive | Brayden Point |