Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 49.5%). Look for Point on offensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 48.8% vs Larsson 49.5% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Point leads 14-11 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Point 83.6%
Defensive zone
Larsson 81.9%
Neutral zone
Point 52.0%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Point
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
11
(25 meetings)
14
11
Point
Larsson
Last 10: Point 7-3 Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
11
1
Point
Larsson
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
2
7
Point
Larsson
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
1
3
Point
Larsson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (6,183)
50.5% (4,382)
-2.2%
Power Play
53.9% (1,043)
47.7% (153)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (247)
43.8% (714)
-5.3%
On power play, Point has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Point is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,402).
Point shoots right. Larsson is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,847).
Home / Away
Point
Larsson
Home
49.1% (3,733)
51.2% (2,493)
Away
48.5% (3,740)
48.0% (2,756)
By Period
Point
Larsson
P1
46.8%
51.6%
P2
51.4%
49.7%
P3
48.0%
47.2%
OT
52.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
49.6%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
48.8%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2019 | 2 | 08:34 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 2 | 05:08 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 2 | 03:21 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 3 | 06:13 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 3 | 10:55 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 2 | 12:01 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 2 | 07:37 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 8, 2019 | 3 | 15:52 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 8, 2019 | 3 | 15:44 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 8, 2019 | 3 | 14:12 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 8, 2019 | 3 | 04:26 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 8, 2019 | 2 | 17:37 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 8, 2019 | 2 | 12:26 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 8, 2019 | 1 | 15:20 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 8, 2019 | 1 | 08:09 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 8, 2019 | 1 | 03:45 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 1 | 09:08 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 1 | 09:00 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 1 | 07:43 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 3 | 16:48 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |