Scouting Report
Brayden Point holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McTavish on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Point wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 50.7% vs McTavish 43.3% (+8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 87.0%
Defensive zone
McTavish 58.4%
Neutral zone
Point 58.5%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 60.8%
60.8%
39.2%
Point
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Point
McTavish
Last 5: Point 3-2 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
1
0
Point
McTavish
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Point
1
0
Point
McTavish
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
2
Point
McTavish
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (711)
42.4% (675)
+7.5%
Power Play
56.2% (105)
40.5% (42)
+15.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
50.0% (8)
+0.0%
On power play, Point has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Point is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (572).
Point shoots right. McTavish is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
Point
McTavish
Home
53.3% (394)
41.9% (372)
Away
48.4% (428)
42.8% (353)
By Period
Point
McTavish
P1
49.8%
47.2%
P2
53.0%
36.2%
P3
49.6%
43.6%
OT
44.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
50.7%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
42.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2023 | 3 | 14:43 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 3 | 06:28 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 2 | 10:51 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 2 | 03:47 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 2 | 03:37 | Offensive | Brayden Point |