Scouting Report
Brayden Point holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Point wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 50.7% vs Zibanejad 49.5% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 75.1%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 81.5%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 55.7%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 58.7%
41.3%
58.7%
Point
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Point
Zibanejad
Last 7: Point 3-4 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
1
0
Point
Zibanejad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
2
Point
Zibanejad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Point
Zibanejad
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (711)
50.1% (1,051)
-0.2%
Power Play
56.2% (105)
58.3% (120)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
41.9% (227)
+8.1%
On penalty kill, Point has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Point is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (250).
Point shoots right. Zibanejad is 50.1% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Home / Away
Point
Zibanejad
Home
53.3% (394)
49.0% (681)
Away
48.4% (428)
49.9% (717)
By Period
Point
Zibanejad
P1
49.8%
49.9%
P2
53.0%
47.6%
P3
49.6%
51.1%
OT
44.4%
48.3%
Final 5 min
56.9%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
50.7%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2022 | 2 | 09:01 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Oct 11, 2022 | 3 | 06:42 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 11, 2022 | 3 | 02:40 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 11, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 11, 2022 | 2 | 08:02 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 11, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 11, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Point |