Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Point on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 48.8% vs Paul 52.2% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Point leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Point 61.0%
Defensive zone
Paul 83.2%
Neutral zone
Paul 61.1%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Point
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Point
Paul
Last 10: Point 6-4 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
8
0
Point
Paul
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
4
Point
Paul
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Point
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (6,183)
52.5% (3,796)
-4.2%
Power Play
53.9% (1,043)
56.5% (480)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (247)
46.7% (574)
-8.2%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Point is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,402).
Point shoots right. Paul is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,780).
Home / Away
Point
Paul
Home
49.1% (3,733)
52.7% (2,412)
Away
48.5% (3,740)
51.7% (2,439)
By Period
Point
Paul
P1
46.8%
53.9%
P2
51.4%
51.0%
P3
48.0%
52.0%
OT
52.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
48.8%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2022 | 3 | 16:28 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 2 | 08:55 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 2 | 06:06 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 3 | 07:32 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 14:47 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 07:25 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 1 | 04:11 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 2 | 02:53 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 1 | 09:45 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 3 | 16:41 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 1 | 15:33 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 1 | 08:18 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 4, 2018 | 2 | 10:39 | Offensive | Brayden Point |