Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.0% vs 50.4%). Look for Point on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 50.9% vs Paul 50.4% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 82.8%
Defensive zone
Paul 74.6%
Neutral zone
Paul 52.5%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 61.3%
61.3%
38.7%
Point
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Point
Paul
Last 7: Point 4-3 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
4
0
Point
Paul
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
2
Point
Paul
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Point
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (573)
53.0% (644)
-4.7%
Power Play
62.4% (141)
37.5% (24)
+24.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
42.9% (177)
-9.6%
On power play, Point has a +24.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Point is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Point shoots right. Paul is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (386).
Home / Away
Point
Paul
Home
47.5% (356)
52.5% (516)
Away
54.6% (361)
47.1% (329)
By Period
Point
Paul
P1
50.0%
47.6%
P2
54.5%
48.4%
P3
48.9%
54.5%
OT
42.9%
100.0%
Final 5 min
57.7%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
51.0%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2022 | 3 | 16:28 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 2 | 08:55 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 2 | 06:06 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 3 | 07:32 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 14:47 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 07:25 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 1 | 04:11 | Defensive | Nick Paul |