Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.1% vs 51.2%). Look for Point on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 51.0% vs Paul 51.0% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 72.1%
Defensive zone
Paul 63.6%
Neutral zone
Paul 50.8%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 57.8%
57.8%
42.2%
Point
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Point
Paul
Last 5: Point 3-2 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
3
0
Point
Paul
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
2
Point
Paul
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (639)
53.5% (312)
-3.6%
Power Play
58.2% (122)
53.8% (26)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (16)
29.4% (34)
+14.4%
On penalty kill, Point has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Point is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Point shoots right. Paul is 45.4% vs right-shot opponents (163).
Home / Away
Point
Paul
Home
49.4% (387)
45.8% (153)
Away
52.8% (390)
55.0% (220)
By Period
Point
Paul
P1
49.1%
55.9%
P2
49.0%
48.9%
P3
54.4%
50.0%
OT
80.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
51.1%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2020 | 2 | 02:53 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 1 | 09:45 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 3 | 16:41 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 1 | 15:33 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 1 | 08:18 | Defensive | Nick Paul |