Scouting Report
Brayden Point holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 48.8% vs Kelly 41.8% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 97.5%
Defensive zone
Point 62.8%
Neutral zone
Point 86.5%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 86.1%
86.1%
13.9%
Point
Kelly
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Point
Kelly
Last 5: Point 5-0 Kelly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
2
0
Point
Kelly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Point
1
0
Point
Kelly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
2
0
Point
Kelly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (6,183)
41.9% (756)
+6.4%
Power Play
53.9% (1,043)
0.0% (3)
+53.9%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (247)
37.2% (172)
+1.3%
On power play, Point has a +53.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Point is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,402).
Point shoots right. Kelly is 39.7% vs right-shot opponents (305).
Home / Away
Point
Kelly
Home
49.1% (3,733)
42.5% (475)
Away
48.5% (3,740)
39.3% (456)
By Period
Point
Kelly
P1
46.8%
42.4%
P2
51.4%
44.7%
P3
48.0%
35.7%
OT
52.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
35.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
48.8%
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
40.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2024 | 1 | 13:15 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 1 | 04:36 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 2 | 19:28 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 2 | 02:04 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 1 | 12:19 | Offensive | Brayden Point |