Scouting Report
Brayden Point holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Point wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Kelly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 50.7% vs Kelly 49.5% (+5.2%)
Offensive zone
Point 70.8%
Defensive zone
Kelly 54.2%
Neutral zone
Point 52.7%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Point
Kelly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (711)
50.0% (6)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
40.0% (5)
+10.0%
On penalty kill, Point has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Point is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (572).
Point shoots right. Kelly is 66.7% vs right-shot opponents (3).
Home / Away
Point
Kelly
Home
53.3% (394)
60.0% (5)
Away
48.4% (428)
33.3% (6)
By Period
Point
Kelly
P1
49.8%
33.3%
P2
53.0%
40.0%
P3
49.6%
66.7%
Final 5 min
56.9%
66.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
50.7%
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
45.5%