Scouting Report
Brayden Point holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Krebs on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Point wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 50.7% vs Krebs 45.9% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 78.0%
Defensive zone
Krebs 77.2%
Neutral zone
Krebs 52.2%
Result
Peyton Krebs favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Point
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Point
Krebs
Last 6: Point 3-3 Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
2
0
Point
Krebs
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
1
2
Point
Krebs
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krebs
0
1
Point
Krebs
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (711)
45.5% (501)
+4.4%
Power Play
56.2% (105)
50.0% (20)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
37.1% (35)
+12.9%
On penalty kill, Point has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Point is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (572).
Point shoots right. Krebs is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (205).
Home / Away
Point
Krebs
Home
53.3% (394)
43.9% (285)
Away
48.4% (428)
46.5% (271)
By Period
Point
Krebs
P1
49.8%
45.4%
P2
53.0%
50.9%
P3
49.6%
39.7%
OT
44.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
50.7%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2023 | 2 | 11:02 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 2 | 02:02 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 1 | 19:49 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 1 | 09:43 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 17:39 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 13:30 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |