Scouting Report
Brayden Point holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Greig on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Point wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Greig shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 46.2% vs Greig 45.0% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 68.0%
Defensive zone
Greig 77.5%
Neutral zone
Greig 52.4%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Point
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Point
Greig
Last 7: Point 3-4 Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Point
Greig
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Greig
2
3
Point
Greig
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (582)
45.2% (414)
+0.7%
Power Play
45.6% (57)
28.6% (14)
+17.0%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
28.6% (21)
-8.6%
On power play, Point has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Point is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Point shoots right. Greig is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (161).
Home / Away
Point
Greig
Home
45.8% (286)
46.4% (196)
Away
45.5% (358)
41.9% (253)
By Period
Point
Greig
P1
45.9%
40.8%
P2
48.8%
46.4%
P3
40.6%
43.9%
OT
62.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
40.7%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
45.7%
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 3 | 10:30 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 3 | 06:50 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 3 | 02:11 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 12:23 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 04:01 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 3 | 04:27 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |