Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Point wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 50.7% vs Thomas 52.7% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 66.1%
Defensive zone
Thomas 68.2%
Neutral zone
Thomas 52.1%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Point
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Point
Thomas
Last 5: Point 2-3 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Point
Thomas
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Point
1
0
Point
Thomas
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
2
Point
Thomas
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (711)
53.6% (924)
-3.7%
Power Play
56.2% (105)
55.2% (181)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
44.0% (116)
+6.0%
On penalty kill, Point has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Point is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (250).
Point shoots right. Thomas is 59.4% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Home / Away
Point
Thomas
Home
53.3% (394)
53.6% (606)
Away
48.4% (428)
52.2% (615)
By Period
Point
Thomas
P1
49.8%
48.2%
P2
53.0%
55.3%
P3
49.6%
55.2%
OT
44.4%
47.1%
Final 5 min
56.9%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
50.7%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 04:08 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 18:46 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 06:03 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 03:57 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 00:42 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |