Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.1% vs 50.3%). Look for Point on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 51.0% vs Steel 50.2% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 68.5%
Defensive zone
Point 51.0%
Neutral zone
Point 54.8%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 57.6%
57.6%
42.4%
Point
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Point
Steel
Last 7: Point 5-2 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Point
Steel
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Point
2
0
Point
Steel
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
2
1
Point
Steel
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (639)
49.7% (638)
+0.2%
Power Play
58.2% (122)
60.3% (63)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (16)
42.4% (33)
+1.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Point is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Point shoots right. Steel is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (257).
Home / Away
Point
Steel
Home
49.4% (387)
47.3% (349)
Away
52.8% (390)
53.0% (385)
By Period
Point
Steel
P1
49.1%
51.2%
P2
49.0%
49.8%
P3
54.4%
50.0%
OT
80.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
51.1%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2020 | 3 | 10:56 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 2 | 18:15 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 2 | 14:47 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 2 | 14:25 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 2 | 08:15 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 2 | 07:57 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 1 | 14:15 | Defensive | Brayden Point |