Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 48.7% vs Steel 52.8% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 60.4%
Defensive zone
Steel 84.7%
Neutral zone
Steel 59.7%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Point
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Point
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
1
0
Point
Steel
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
2
0
Point
Steel
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (736)
56.9% (320)
-9.1%
Power Play
51.0% (143)
71.4% (7)
-20.4%
Penalty Kill
71.4% (7)
37.0% (73)
+34.4%
On penalty kill, Point has a +34.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Point is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (706).
Point shoots right. Steel is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
Point
Steel
Home
49.7% (471)
55.9% (202)
Away
47.2% (415)
51.0% (198)
By Period
Point
Steel
P1
46.6%
55.5%
P2
51.7%
55.1%
P3
46.5%
50.3%
Final 5 min
47.0%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
48.5%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 13:48 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 03:13 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 07:53 | Neutral | Brayden Point |