Scouting Report
Brayden Point holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Point on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Point wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 50.7% vs Kuraly 49.7% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Point leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Point 92.9%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 90.2%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 51.2%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Point
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Point
Kuraly
Last 10: Point 7-3 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
6
0
Point
Kuraly
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
6
Point
Kuraly
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
1
0
Point
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (711)
49.2% (901)
+0.7%
Power Play
56.2% (105)
68.2% (22)
-12.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
49.8% (219)
+0.2%
On power play, Kuraly has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Point is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (572).
Point shoots right. Kuraly is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (378).
Home / Away
Point
Kuraly
Home
53.3% (394)
51.7% (603)
Away
48.4% (428)
47.3% (539)
By Period
Point
Kuraly
P1
49.8%
50.9%
P2
53.0%
49.5%
P3
49.6%
49.1%
OT
44.4%
25.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
50.7%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 10:55 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 07:40 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 11:25 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 08:21 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 17:33 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 09:08 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 05:25 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 03:31 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 09:02 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 3 | 12:48 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 1 | 13:08 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 1 | 12:56 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 1 | 10:02 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |