Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 48.6% vs Backes 50.7% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Backes leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Schenn 64.8%
Defensive zone
Backes 54.0%
Neutral zone
Schenn 54.7%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Schenn
Backes
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Schenn
Backes
Last 10: Schenn 3-7 Backes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
3
2
Schenn
Backes
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
2
4
Schenn
Backes
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
0
1
Schenn
Backes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Backes
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (8,799)
51.1% (5,772)
-3.1%
Power Play
53.5% (1,033)
50.8% (1,082)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (396)
47.4% (930)
+1.1%
On even strength, Backes has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backes shoots right. Schenn is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (3,557).
Schenn shoots left. Backes is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,704).
Home / Away
Schenn
Backes
Home
49.7% (5,030)
50.6% (3,936)
Away
47.4% (5,202)
50.7% (3,895)
By Period
Schenn
Backes
P1
48.7%
50.1%
P2
48.6%
51.5%
P3
48.3%
50.8%
OT
50.9%
42.9%
Final 5 min
49.3%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.5%
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2021 | 2 | 16:52 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 2 | 01:46 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 1 | 05:52 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 1 | 03:29 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 3 | 17:09 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 3 | 18:26 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 3 | 07:36 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 11, 2020 | 2 | 00:34 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 11, 2020 | 1 | 03:30 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 22, 2014 | 3 | 16:57 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 22, 2014 | 3 | 16:48 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 1 | 03:21 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |