Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Grant on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Schenn wins 44.7% vs left-shot opponents — Grant shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 46.9% vs Grant 54.3% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 83.4%
Defensive zone
Schenn 50.1%
Neutral zone
Schenn 62.1%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
Schenn
Grant
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Schenn
Grant
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Grant
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
0
3
Schenn
Grant
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Grant
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (798)
56.5% (308)
-10.9%
Power Play
52.8% (127)
65.3% (49)
-12.5%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (89)
48.5% (136)
-2.4%
On power play, Grant has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grant shoots left. Schenn is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (665).
Schenn shoots left. Grant is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (313).
Home / Away
Schenn
Grant
Home
46.8% (494)
60.3% (257)
Away
46.3% (520)
49.6% (236)
By Period
Schenn
Grant
P1
50.3%
54.7%
P2
47.0%
54.0%
P3
42.2%
57.1%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.6%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
46.5%
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 11:44 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 17:26 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 17:23 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 10:21 | Defensive | Derek Grant |