Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Schenn wins 44.7% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 46.9% vs Malkin 49.4% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 75.3%
Defensive zone
Schenn 67.8%
Neutral zone
Malkin 54.2%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Schenn
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Schenn
Malkin
Last 9: Schenn 5-4 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
0
4
Schenn
Malkin
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
4
0
Schenn
Malkin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Malkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (798)
49.0% (811)
-3.4%
Power Play
52.8% (127)
55.8% (43)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (89)
50.0% (2)
-3.9%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Schenn is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (665).
Schenn shoots left. Malkin is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (568).
Home / Away
Schenn
Malkin
Home
46.8% (494)
52.3% (438)
Away
46.3% (520)
46.2% (418)
By Period
Schenn
Malkin
P1
50.3%
51.3%
P2
47.0%
50.8%
P3
42.2%
45.0%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.6%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
46.5%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 14:32 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 11:39 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 10:10 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 06:42 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 03:37 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 09:05 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 06:32 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 06:29 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 04:32 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |