Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Schenn on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 47.5% vs Spezza 51.9% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 63.2%
Defensive zone
Spezza 64.8%
Neutral zone
Spezza 72.8%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 71.4%
28.6%
71.4%
Schenn
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Schenn
Spezza
Last 6: Schenn 4-2 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Spezza
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
3
2
Schenn
Spezza
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (469)
51.3% (526)
-4.8%
Power Play
56.0% (25)
57.7% (123)
-1.7%
On even strength, Spezza has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Schenn is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (167).
Schenn shoots left. Spezza is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Schenn
Spezza
Home
49.6% (236)
53.7% (374)
Away
44.6% (258)
50.3% (304)
By Period
Schenn
Spezza
P1
48.0%
50.2%
P2
48.1%
50.2%
P3
42.2%
56.2%
OT
81.8%
66.7%
Final 5 min
49.5%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
47.0%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2016 | 3 | 10:31 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 3 | 07:25 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 2 | 13:27 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 1 | 16:44 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 1 | 13:44 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 1 | 08:22 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |