Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on defensive-zone draws (58% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 48.6% vs Spezza 54.7% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 18-16 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Schenn 68.3%
Defensive zone
Schenn 61.0%
Neutral zone
Schenn 61.2%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 63.0%
63.0%
37.0%
Schenn
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
18
(34 meetings)
16
18
Schenn
Spezza
Last 10: Schenn 4-6 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
4
5
Schenn
Spezza
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
5
7
Schenn
Spezza
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
7
6
Schenn
Spezza
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (8,799)
54.4% (7,990)
-6.4%
Power Play
53.5% (1,033)
56.8% (1,726)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (396)
52.7% (643)
-4.2%
On even strength, Spezza has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Schenn is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (3,557).
Schenn shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Home / Away
Schenn
Spezza
Home
49.7% (5,030)
56.8% (5,066)
Away
47.4% (5,202)
52.7% (5,332)
By Period
Schenn
Spezza
P1
48.7%
55.7%
P2
48.6%
54.4%
P3
48.3%
54.1%
OT
50.9%
51.5%
Final 5 min
49.3%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.5%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2019 | 3 | 15:03 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 7, 2019 | 2 | 12:22 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 7, 2019 | 2 | 02:51 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 7, 2019 | 2 | 02:36 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 3 | 17:33 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 3 | 08:28 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 3 | 05:21 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 2 | 16:29 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 2 | 09:36 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 8, 2019 | 3 | 10:15 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 8, 2019 | 3 | 01:11 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 8, 2019 | 2 | 04:33 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 1 | 16:08 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 1 | 07:47 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 3 | 12:39 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 3 | 05:01 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 1 | 02:11 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 3 | 19:13 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 3 | 08:30 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |