Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Schenn on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 48.2% vs Spezza 55.1% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 59.7%
Defensive zone
Spezza 86.8%
Neutral zone
Spezza 80.1%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 77.1%
22.9%
77.1%
Schenn
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Schenn
Spezza
Last 9: Schenn 7-2 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Schenn
Spezza
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
0
Schenn
Spezza
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
4
1
Schenn
Spezza
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (1,112)
56.4% (654)
-8.3%
Power Play
50.7% (213)
51.7% (87)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
34.7% (49)
50.0% (6)
-15.3%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Schenn is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (470).
Schenn shoots left. Spezza is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Home / Away
Schenn
Spezza
Home
50.5% (709)
61.4% (352)
Away
45.4% (665)
50.9% (395)
By Period
Schenn
Spezza
P1
50.5%
60.6%
P2
47.4%
54.8%
P3
46.6%
52.5%
OT
41.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.0%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2018 | 1 | 16:08 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 1 | 07:47 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 3 | 12:39 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 3 | 05:01 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 1 | 02:11 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 3 | 19:13 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 3 | 08:30 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 2 | 12:14 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 2 | 05:04 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |