Scouting Report
Josh Bailey holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bailey on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Schenn wins 42.1% vs left-shot opponents — Bailey shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 44.1% vs Bailey 49.7% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 62.2%
Defensive zone
Schenn 52.7%
Neutral zone
Schenn 62.7%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 59.2%
59.2%
40.8%
Schenn
Bailey
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Schenn
Bailey
Last 9: Schenn 3-6 Bailey
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
1
2
Schenn
Bailey
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
1
2
Schenn
Bailey
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bailey
1
2
Schenn
Bailey
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Bailey
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (635)
48.8% (170)
-6.1%
Power Play
48.5% (33)
56.4% (39)
-7.9%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
42.1% (19)
+10.8%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bailey shoots left. Schenn is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (499).
Schenn shoots left. Bailey is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (141).
Home / Away
Schenn
Bailey
Home
45.4% (324)
51.3% (156)
Away
41.3% (361)
45.8% (72)
By Period
Schenn
Bailey
P1
40.8%
50.0%
P2
47.3%
45.6%
P3
40.5%
52.9%
OT
57.1%
33.3%
Final 5 min
41.7%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
43.2%
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2013 | 3 | 17:34 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 3 | 01:13 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 2 | 13:01 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 2 | 01:45 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 1 | 18:13 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 1 | 10:42 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 1 | 10:16 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 1 | 07:38 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 1 | 07:22 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |