Scouting Report
Brayden Schenn holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bailey on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 48.6% vs Bailey 45.5% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Bailey leads 16-11 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Bailey 64.0%
Defensive zone
Bailey 65.6%
Neutral zone
Bailey 64.4%
Result
Josh Bailey favored at 64.7%
35.3%
64.7%
Schenn
Bailey
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
16
(27 meetings)
11
16
Schenn
Bailey
Last 10: Schenn 3-7 Bailey
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
6
4
Schenn
Bailey
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
4
7
Schenn
Bailey
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bailey
1
5
Schenn
Bailey
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Bailey
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (8,799)
45.8% (1,991)
+2.2%
Power Play
53.5% (1,033)
48.1% (295)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (396)
39.9% (281)
+8.6%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bailey shoots left. Schenn is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,675).
Schenn shoots left. Bailey is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,590).
Home / Away
Schenn
Bailey
Home
49.7% (5,030)
46.6% (1,353)
Away
47.4% (5,202)
44.0% (1,232)
By Period
Schenn
Bailey
P1
48.7%
46.5%
P2
48.6%
44.8%
P3
48.3%
44.4%
OT
50.9%
51.1%
Final 5 min
49.3%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.5%
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2017 | OT | 00:36 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Oct 9, 2017 | 1 | 07:36 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 3 | 17:34 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 3 | 01:13 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 2 | 13:01 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 2 | 01:45 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 1 | 18:13 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 1 | 10:42 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 1 | 10:16 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 1 | 07:38 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 1 | 07:22 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 3 | 19:52 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Mar 15, 2012 | 2 | 02:54 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 3 | 05:28 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 2 | 14:17 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 2 | 14:05 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 2 | 01:29 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 1 | 16:22 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 1 | 13:07 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 1 | 04:33 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |