Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 10 meetings). Schenn wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 52.1% vs Stenlund 58.3% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Stenlund leads 12-3 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Schenn 94.5%
Defensive zone
Schenn 73.0%
Neutral zone
Schenn 77.9%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 79.1%
79.1%
20.9%
Schenn
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
12
(15 meetings)
3
12
Schenn
Stenlund
Last 10: Schenn 2-8 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
3
1
Schenn
Stenlund
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
10
Schenn
Stenlund
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
1
Schenn
Stenlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (962)
58.6% (797)
-6.4%
Power Play
51.2% (166)
62.5% (24)
-11.3%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (54)
60.5% (233)
-3.1%
On power play, Stenlund has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Schenn is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (441).
Schenn shoots left. Stenlund is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (845).
Home / Away
Schenn
Stenlund
Home
51.1% (575)
58.6% (548)
Away
53.4% (607)
59.7% (506)
By Period
Schenn
Stenlund
P1
51.4%
60.2%
P2
52.7%
59.1%
P3
52.7%
58.3%
OT
50.0%
58.6%
Final 5 min
51.6%
58.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
52.3%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
59.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 05:18 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 03:22 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 2 | 11:02 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 19:36 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 16:11 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 13:21 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 09:24 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 19:47 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 03:38 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 1 | 17:16 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |