Scouting Report
Brayden Schenn holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Schenn on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Schenn wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 49.2% vs Barzal 46.9% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 51.8%
Defensive zone
Schenn 76.0%
Neutral zone
Schenn 65.7%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 68.3%
68.3%
31.7%
Schenn
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Schenn
Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Barzal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
1
Schenn
Barzal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (542)
46.6% (483)
+2.1%
Power Play
70.6% (17)
40.9% (22)
+29.7%
On power play, Schenn has a +29.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Schenn is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Schenn shoots left. Barzal is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
Schenn
Barzal
Home
49.0% (286)
49.6% (242)
Away
49.1% (293)
43.3% (263)
By Period
Schenn
Barzal
P1
47.7%
42.4%
P2
48.7%
49.5%
P3
51.4%
47.7%
OT
25.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.4%
40.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
49.1%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 19:26 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 19:20 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 15:51 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 01:53 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |