Scouting Report
Brayden Schenn holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Coronato on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Schenn wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Coronato shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 52.1% vs Coronato 45.6% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coronato 80.9%
Defensive zone
Coronato 60.8%
Neutral zone
Coronato 71.5%
Result
Matt Coronato favored at 72.9%
27.1%
72.9%
Schenn
Coronato
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Schenn
Coronato
Last 5: Schenn 1-4 Coronato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coronato
0
3
Schenn
Coronato
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Schenn
Coronato
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Coronato
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (962)
41.0% (122)
+11.2%
Power Play
51.2% (166)
48.6% (37)
+2.6%
On even strength, Schenn has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coronato shoots right. Schenn is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (441).
Schenn shoots left. Coronato is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (137).
Home / Away
Schenn
Coronato
Home
51.1% (575)
41.3% (92)
Away
53.4% (607)
44.8% (67)
By Period
Schenn
Coronato
P1
51.4%
36.4%
P2
52.7%
40.5%
P3
52.7%
47.7%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
52.0%▬
53.0%
52.3%
Coronato
46.0%▲
38.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 10:31 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 5, 2024 | OT | 00:47 | Defensive | Matt Coronato |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 12:27 | Offensive | Matt Coronato |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 12:10 | Offensive | Matt Coronato |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 00:41 | Offensive | Matt Coronato |