Scouting Report
Brayden Schenn holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Schenn on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Schenn wins 58.8% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 53.2% vs Zibanejad 51.6% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 65.8%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 58.2%
Neutral zone
Schenn 56.9%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 63.6%
63.6%
36.4%
Schenn
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Schenn
Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
1
Schenn
Zibanejad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Zibanejad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (613)
53.4% (770)
-2.2%
Power Play
63.6% (107)
46.2% (39)
+17.4%
Penalty Kill
72.7% (22)
44.7% (141)
+28.0%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +28.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Schenn is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (279).
Schenn shoots left. Zibanejad is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Home / Away
Schenn
Zibanejad
Home
54.0% (367)
49.0% (429)
Away
53.3% (375)
54.1% (521)
By Period
Schenn
Zibanejad
P1
48.6%
53.0%
P2
52.0%
51.1%
P3
59.0%
51.0%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.6%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 07:25 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 03:54 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 3 | 19:57 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 3 | 18:35 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |